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Red50
451217.4
293024.7
41806.0
Blue27
417312.1
408911.8
30497.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4130010205060705027

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.3
17.218.5
Auto3.7
Teleop15.8
End5.1
red by 12.6
4173
#25
12.10.4
11.711.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.9
Second
17.41.3
14.615.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End5.2
red by 5.5
4089
#32
11.80.4
9.89.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End4.3
Third
4180
#34
6.01.3
6.67.8
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.7
End3.4
blue by 1.9
3049
#16
7.90.4
6.56.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed