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Red28
568312.2
762712.0
37867.9
Blue30
451217.4
326813.4
46836.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32392050602830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5683
#21
12.20.3
14.013.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End1.8
blue by 5.1
17.41.1
18.817.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End5.2
Second
7627
#24
12.00.3
9.49.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End3.7
blue by 1.4
3268
#13
13.41.1
9.78.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End2.6
Third
3786
#27
7.90.3
6.96.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
red by 2.0
4683
#20
6.01.1
8.87.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed