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Red22
457912.0
37867.9
298016.4
Blue9
52958.5
366316.0
9498.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404410203050229

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2980
#18
16.42.1
13.911.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 0.5
3663
#14
16.04.0
16.312.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End3.2
Second
4579
#22
12.02.1
11.79.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End3.2
red by 3.5
5295
#33
8.54.0
13.29.3
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Third
3786
#27
7.92.1
12.310.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 0.2
949
#15
8.14.0
12.58.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed