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Red63
298016.4
293024.7
323812.0
Blue30
568312.2
382613.2
30497.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4638203050606330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.4
19.621.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.8
End5.1
red by 11.5
3826
#10
13.20.6
13.813.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End3.3
Second
2980
#18
16.41.4
13.214.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 4.2
5683
#21
12.20.6
12.211.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Third
12.01.4
11.212.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End2.3
red by 4.1
3049
#16
7.90.6
10.49.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed