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Red38
41806.0
451312.0
446920.2
Blue41
9498.1
26057.4
214719.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383410203050603841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#12
20.20.2
18.218.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End5.8
red by 1.0
2147
#19
19.30.8
18.219.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End4.7
Second
4513
#29
12.00.2
10.210.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.5
red by 3.9
949
#15
8.10.8
7.68.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Third
4180
#34
6.00.2
7.37.5
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.7
End3.4
blue by 1.5
2605
#31
7.40.8
6.47.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsEarned