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Red38
48817.2
36017.2
255720.9
Blue95
999219.7
999112.8
281126.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66510204060801001203895

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#20
20.91.6
21.820.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.6
End5.1
blue by 5.5
26.43.1
21.824.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End7.7
Second
488
#25
17.21.6
21.119.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End3.4
blue by 2.5
19.75.2
14.319.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Third
360
#6
17.21.6
19.618.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.8
End7.6
red by 4.4
9991
#12
12.83.1
11.915.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsMissed62%HAB Docking oddsEarned