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Red68
491132.2
999219.7
26056.7
Blue36
558815.7
746111.4
290717.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645202040801001206836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.6
33.032.4
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.9
red by 14.7
2907
#16
17.50.9
18.817.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End4.7
Second
19.71.0
19.518.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End6.2
red by 4.0
5588
#23
15.70.9
17.917.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Third
2605
#32
6.70.6
8.27.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.3
End2.7
blue by 4.7
7461
#26
11.40.9
12.811.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed