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Red76
273327.9
582722.5
999219.7
Blue84
580330.0
746111.4
198330.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7574607080907684

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.1
27.827.9
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End7.3
blue by 2.7
1983
#10
30.50.2
30.230.5
Auto4.7
Teleop18.2
End7.6
Second
5827
#27
22.50.1
22.522.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End8.9
blue by 7.5
30.00.2
29.729.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End8.6
Third
19.70.2
19.619.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End6.2
red by 8.3
7461
#26
11.40.2
11.111.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.5