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Red26
451324.0
644213.8
914710.1
Blue53
214730.0
321612.5
746111.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515702040801002653

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
Unranked
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End2.1
blue by 5.9
2147
Unranked
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End6.2
Second
6442
Unranked
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
red by 1.2
3216
Unranked
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End3.5
Third
9147
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 1.3
7461
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking odds32%HAB Docking odds