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Red39
213021.8
321612.5
998010.1
Blue53
406120.4
498021.6
644213.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475902040801001203953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End6.3
red by 0.2
4980
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.8
Second
3216
Unranked
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End3.5
blue by 7.9
4061
Unranked
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Third
9980
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 3.7
6442
Unranked
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking odds51%HAB Docking odds