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Red31
914710.1
406120.4
913010.1
Blue25
951310.1
592017.6
321612.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342304050603125

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
Unranked
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.9
End2.4
red by 2.8
5920
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3
Second
9130
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 2.4
3216
Unranked
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End3.5
Third
9147
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Level
9513
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking odds30%HAB Docking odds