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Red43
746111.4
906110.1
314514.2
Blue30
592017.6
451324.0
998010.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385502060801004330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3145
Unranked
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End4.8
blue by 9.8
4513
Unranked
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End2.1
Second
7461
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.5
blue by 6.2
5920
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3
Third
9061
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Level
9980
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds7%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking odds27%HAB Docking odds