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Red48
998010.1
314514.2
214730.0
Blue41
951310.1
213021.8
746111.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574602040801004841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
Unranked
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End6.2
red by 8.2
2130
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End6.3
Second
3145
Unranked
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End4.8
red by 2.8
7461
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Third
9980
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Level
9513
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking odds40%HAB Docking odds