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Red41
321612.5
992010.1
921610.1
Blue25
914710.1
998010.1
746111.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35330102040506070804125

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3216
Unranked
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End3.5
red by 1.1
7461
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Second
9216
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Level
9147
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Third
9920
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Level
9980
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking odds19%HAB Docking odds