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Red21
498021.6
998010.1
992010.1
Blue39
592017.6
913010.1
607610.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444002060802139

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.8
red by 4.0
5920
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3
Second
9920
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 0.2
6076
Unranked
10.30.0
10.310.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Third
9980
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Level
9130
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking odds34%HAB Docking odds