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Red68
297623.9
198328.4
307016.1
Blue65
408917.1
49222.6
48821.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716440801006865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.1
28.128.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End8.4
red by 5.8
492
#7
22.60.1
22.522.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End6.4
Second
2976
#29
23.90.1
23.623.5
Auto3.4
Teleop17.0
End3.5
red by 2.8
488
#15
21.10.1
21.021.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Third
3070
#33
16.10.1
15.815.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 1.0
4089
#11
17.10.1
17.017.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.0