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Red0
580330.0
491124.8
358818.5
Blue81
292825.2
241218.7
558816.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78670204060100081

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5803
#17DQ
30.00.2
30.230.0
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End8.2
red by 4.8
2928
#10
25.20.0
26.326.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End5.5
Second
4911
#4DQ
24.80.2
25.024.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End3.0
red by 6.1
18.70.0
19.819.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End5.8
Third
3588
#16DQ
18.50.2
18.718.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End3.0
red by 2.3
5588
#27
16.30.0
17.317.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End2.3