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Red53
49222.6
241218.7
382623.6
Blue79
177816.1
48821.1
491124.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454901001505379

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#19
23.60.7
12.513.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End3.9
blue by 1.3
24.82.0
20.322.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End3.0
Second
492
#7
22.61.1
14.916.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End6.4
red by 1.5
488
#15
21.12.0
16.318.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Third
18.70.7
15.316.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End5.8
red by 2.7
1778
#13
16.12.0
9.711.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsEarned