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Red60
252226.5
297623.9
368112.9
Blue65
177816.1
46837.5
366322.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6043102030507080906065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.2
24.124.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.0
End4.5
red by 4.1
22.41.6
20.522.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End5.3
Second
2976
#29
23.90.2
19.619.8
Auto3.4
Teleop17.0
End3.5
red by 7.8
1778
#13
16.11.6
12.313.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Third
3681
#30
12.90.2
13.413.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 5.4
4683
#32
7.51.6
8.19.7
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsEarned