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Red39
129416.1
711812.3
468115.5
Blue62
358818.5
49222.6
198328.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4464020801003962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#26
16.10.2
14.614.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End2.4
blue by 12.3
28.40.1
25.325.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End8.4
Second
4681
#38
15.50.2
14.214.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End1.7
blue by 7.2
492
#7
22.60.1
17.017.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End6.4
Third
7118
#36
12.30.3
12.912.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.7
blue by 6.2
3588
#16
18.50.1
18.718.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed86%HAB Docking oddsMissed