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Red64
451220.0
189914.7
408917.1
Blue51
491124.8
417313.1
468215.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51503540455560656451

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.01.1
17.718.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End5.4
blue by 4.8
24.80.1
22.322.4
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End3.0
Second
4089
#11
17.11.1
15.316.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.0
red by 2.0
4682
#24
15.00.1
14.114.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Third
1899
#20
14.71.1
13.814.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 1.6
4173
#31
13.10.1
12.712.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed