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Red65
468115.5
408917.1
291040.6
Blue68
189914.7
491124.8
252226.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7365204060801006568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.3
39.038.7
Auto4.8
Teleop26.5
End9.2
red by 14.0
26.50.2
24.324.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.0
End4.5
Second
4089
#11
17.10.3
16.516.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.0
blue by 7.8
24.80.2
22.422.6
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End3.0
Third
4681
#38
15.50.3
14.113.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End1.7
red by 0.7
1899
#20
14.70.2
14.915.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsMissed