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Red40
746115.3
420520.6
129416.1
Blue48
491513.9
417313.1
408917.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444430354050554048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4205
#14
20.60.1
16.916.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End6.7
red by 3.5
4089
#11
17.10.4
16.216.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.0
Second
1294
#26
16.10.1
12.812.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End2.4
red by 2.2
4915
#28
13.90.4
13.013.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End4.8
Third
7461
#37
15.30.1
12.312.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End4.2
red by 2.2
4173
#31
13.10.4
12.312.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsMissed