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Red65
198328.4
382623.6
468215.0
Blue53
558816.3
430919.3
177816.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58492040801006553

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.7
25.225.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End8.4
red by 9.1
4309
#18
19.30.5
17.518.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End5.6
Second
3826
#19
23.60.7
17.017.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End3.9
red by 7.3
5588
#27
16.30.5
15.115.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End2.3
Third
4682
#24
15.00.7
12.613.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.1
End2.7
blue by 1.0
1778
#13
16.10.5
13.413.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed