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Red77
198328.4
125821.2
129416.1
Blue53
189914.7
368112.9
382623.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6655204060801007753

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.41.0
26.427.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End8.4
red by 4.8
3826
#19
23.60.6
23.522.9
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Second
1258
#12
21.21.0
19.920.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End4.9
red by 6.5
1899
#20
14.70.6
15.114.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Third
1294
#26
16.11.0
16.017.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End2.4
red by 3.2
3681
#30
12.90.6
13.913.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsMissed