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Red54
468115.5
366322.4
417313.1
Blue74
762715.3
468215.0
297623.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54532030406070805474

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.0
22.022.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End5.3
blue by 1.5
2976
#29
23.90.8
22.723.5
Auto3.4
Teleop17.0
End3.5
Second
4681
#38
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End1.7
red by 0.2
7627
#34
15.30.8
14.014.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End3.7
Third
4173
#31
13.10.0
13.513.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
blue by 1.9
4682
#24
15.00.8
13.414.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed