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Red75
292825.2
408917.1
358818.5
Blue27
307016.1
746115.3
125821.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51421020306070807527

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#10
25.21.8
18.820.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End5.5
red by 4.0
1258
#12
21.20.8
16.215.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End4.9
Second
3588
#16
18.51.8
16.918.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End3.0
red by 2.5
3070
#33
16.11.4
12.110.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Third
4089
#11
17.11.8
12.914.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.0
red by 1.7
7461
#37
15.30.8
11.310.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed