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Red12
387614.3
41049.7
29449.8
Blue33
76967.1
406020.5
451319.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3942203050601233

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3876
#10
14.32.8
13.610.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.2
blue by 6.3
20.50.4
17.817.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End6.2
Second
2944
#27
9.81.7
14.012.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 9.4
19.20.4
12.612.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
4104
#29
9.71.7
9.57.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 2.7
7696
#28
7.10.4
9.48.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed