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Red76
451319.2
387614.3
204637.3
Blue61
214726.3
75315.2
214815.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5850304070807661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.4
32.133.5
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End9.9
red by 11.0
2147
#14
26.31.0
19.320.3
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Second
19.21.4
12.013.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
red by 3.4
2148
#19
15.80.9
16.217.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Third
3876
#10
14.32.3
11.113.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.2
blue by 0.9
753
#22
15.20.9
12.012.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed