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Red47
321823.5
644213.8
41049.7
Blue53
214726.3
214815.8
387614.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4652102030406070804753

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#11
23.50.2
21.021.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.6
blue by 2.8
2147
#14
26.30.1
21.721.8
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Second
6442
#16
13.80.2
13.914.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
blue by 2.1
2148
#19
15.80.1
16.116.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Third
4104
#29
9.70.2
8.68.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 4.5
3876
#10
14.30.1
11.111.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed