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Red48
75315.2
592017.6
451319.2
Blue47
78037.2
37128.8
204637.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43501020306070804847

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.5
12.613.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 18.1
37.30.0
31.531.5
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End9.9
Second
17.60.5
13.514.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3
red by 8.8
3712
#25
8.80.0
8.08.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.5
Third
753
#22
15.20.5
14.414.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.4
red by 7.9
7803
#26
7.20.0
7.67.6
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed62%HAB Docking oddsEarned