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Red33
29449.8
76967.1
255718.9
Blue47
498022.7
592017.6
644213.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4354203040506070803347

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#12
18.90.5
19.018.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.6
End3.9
blue by 3.8
22.70.3
21.521.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.8
End7.2
Second
2944
#27
9.80.5
11.611.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 7.8
17.60.3
15.315.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End6.3
Third
7696
#28
7.10.5
10.39.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 6.7
6442
#16
13.80.3
14.314.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsEarned