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Red83
406020.5
644213.8
204637.3
Blue71
321823.5
451319.2
777616.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695930405080908371

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.0
32.833.8
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End9.9
red by 13.9
3218
#11
23.51.0
23.724.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.6
Second
20.51.0
18.319.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End6.2
red by 1.3
19.21.0
16.317.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
6442
#16
13.81.0
14.115.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End4.0
blue by 3.1
7776
#21
16.81.0
16.217.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed