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Red71
252223.7
644323.0
777612.7
Blue42
412523.0
498017.3
260511.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635530405070807142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.2
23.723.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End5.7
red by 0.7
4125
#11
23.00.3
23.323.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End5.8
Second
23.00.2
23.023.2
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End9.2
red by 5.7
4980
#10
17.30.3
17.617.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.9
End4.4
Third
7776
#27
12.70.2
12.612.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.3
red by 1.4
2605
#24
11.30.3
11.611.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End3.4