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Red54
412523.0
36939.2
469225.3
Blue46
294413.5
371121.9
580326.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536120304070805446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.3
19.219.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End9.0
blue by 1.1
26.40.9
23.122.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End7.3
Second
4125
#11
23.00.3
18.018.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End5.8
red by 1.1
3711
#15
21.90.8
23.322.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End8.7
Third
3693
#21
9.20.5
12.613.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
blue by 4.3
2944
#20
13.51.4
11.810.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned92%HAB Docking oddsMissed