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Red45
36939.2
546815.1
580326.4
Blue35
491118.5
410410.8
294413.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513910203060704535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.2
22.021.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End7.3
red by 7.9
4911
#16
18.50.2
15.014.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End4.0
Second
15.10.2
12.512.3
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End2.5
red by 1.6
2944
#20
13.50.2
10.810.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End3.0
Third
3693
#21
9.20.3
13.313.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
blue by 1.6
4104
#28
10.80.2
11.010.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed