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Red40
546815.1
498017.3
252223.7
Blue30
294413.5
777612.7
644213.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49341020304060704030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.7
16.415.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End5.7
red by 10.2
2944
#20
13.50.3
10.610.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End3.0
Second
4980
#10
17.30.7
17.616.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.9
End4.4
red by 4.4
6442
#18
13.00.3
12.011.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.9
End3.9
Third
15.10.4
12.311.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End2.5
red by 2.4
7776
#27
12.70.3
9.89.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed