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Red41
131822.4
36939.2
322014.1
Blue54
159513.6
580326.4
644213.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4653203040506070804154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.2
21.421.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End5.2
blue by 4.0
26.40.2
21.822.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End7.3
Second
3220
#19
14.10.3
10.410.1
Auto1.2
Teleop8.3
End4.5
red by 0.5
13.60.4
17.017.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.5
Third
3693
#21
9.20.3
12.111.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
blue by 3.7
6442
#18
13.00.4
11.712.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsEarned