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Red53
371121.9
469225.3
410410.8
Blue55
412523.0
159513.6
777612.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584820304070805355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.1
22.422.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End9.0
red by 2.3
4125
#11
23.00.1
19.018.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End5.8
Second
3711
#15
21.90.1
22.822.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End8.7
red by 8.3
13.60.1
17.417.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.5
Third
4104
#28
10.80.2
9.59.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 1.9
7776
#27
12.70.1
9.69.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed