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Red58
292613.4
413119.6
498017.3
Blue36
36939.2
214816.2
491118.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4544010203040506070805836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#13
19.61.0
17.718.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.6
End2.9
red by 1.0
4911
#16
18.51.0
17.016.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End4.0
Second
4980
#10
17.31.7
16.518.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.9
End4.4
red by 1.1
2148
#25
16.21.0
12.911.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
2926
#29
13.41.7
8.710.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.9
End3.1
red by 4.2
3693
#21
9.21.0
11.810.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed