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Red47
60765.9
291035.7
410410.8
Blue34
491118.5
592013.3
777612.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5744020804734

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.5
30.429.9
Auto3.2
Teleop22.4
End10.1
red by 17.2
4911
#16
18.50.8
16.615.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End4.0
Second
4104
#28
10.80.8
11.510.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 2.5
5920
#23
13.30.8
14.713.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Third
6076
#22
5.90.8
12.611.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.0
End2.7
blue by 6.8
7776
#27
12.78.1
17.49.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed