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Red49
546815.1
491118.5
60765.9
Blue41
769610.0
498017.3
412523.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39521020306070804941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#16
18.50.6
17.317.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End4.0
blue by 4.4
4125
#11
23.00.6
22.622.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End5.8
Second
15.10.4
13.113.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End2.5
blue by 2.2
4980
#10
17.30.8
18.217.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.9
End4.4
Third
6076
#22
5.90.6
6.46.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.0
End2.7
blue by 4.1
7696
#26
10.00.8
8.88.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed