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Red60
214816.2
410410.8
252223.7
Blue53
159513.6
592013.3
371121.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4948304060706053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.2
20.221.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End5.7
red by 1.8
3711
#15
21.90.5
21.822.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End8.7
Second
2148
#25
16.21.2
14.715.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
red by 2.6
13.60.7
13.414.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.5
Third
4104
#28
10.81.2
11.512.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 2.5
5920
#23
13.30.7
10.411.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed83%HAB Docking oddsEarned