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Red47
292613.4
644213.0
546815.1
Blue23
529514.6
36939.2
410410.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394120253035455055604723

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.7
13.614.3
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End2.5
red by 0.5
5295
#17
14.61.1
14.513.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.9
End5.6
Second
2926
#29
13.40.9
9.210.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.9
End3.1
red by 2.7
4104
#28
10.81.3
12.711.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Third
6442
#18
13.00.9
13.814.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.9
End3.9
red by 3.7
3693
#21
9.21.4
11.810.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsEarned