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Red50
546815.1
469225.3
294413.5
Blue60
252223.7
644323.0
777612.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57633040507080901005060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.1
25.225.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End9.0
red by 1.6
23.70.0
23.823.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End5.7
Second
15.10.1
15.014.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End2.5
blue by 7.9
23.00.0
23.223.2
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End9.2
Third
2944
#20
13.50.1
13.413.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End3.0
red by 0.8
7776
#27
12.70.0
12.812.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.3