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Red21
115311.2
50911.1
568714.3
Blue9
20847.9
346710.0
49057.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39361020253045219

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.31.9
14.712.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End4.6
red by 4.3
3467
#15DQ
10.02.8
10.37.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Second
11.21.9
12.911.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 3.2
4905
#16
7.92.8
12.810.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Third
509
#8
11.11.9
10.68.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End2.3
red by 3.1
2084
#14
7.92.8
11.28.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed