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Red83
96731.7
544221.2
109117.4
Blue92
702126.0
16720.2
306127.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7577607080908392

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#10
31.70.0
31.831.8
Auto5.0
Teleop20.3
End6.4
red by 4.1
3061
#18
27.60.4
27.427.8
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End5.9
Second
21.20.0
21.421.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End7.5
blue by 4.8
7021
#21
26.00.4
25.726.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.1
End8.0
Third
1091
#24
17.40.0
17.617.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.5
blue by 2.8
167
#6
20.20.4
20.020.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.4