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Red33
233823.4
219427.3
704812.5
Blue55
590321.3
162522.3
478616.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696230405080901003355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.7
28.027.3
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End8.8
red by 5.0
22.30.2
22.021.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End6.4
Second
23.40.7
24.123.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End5.7
red by 2.1
5903
#14
21.30.2
21.020.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End5.2
Third
7048
#40
12.50.7
13.212.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 3.7
4786
#23
16.20.2
15.915.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End5.5