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Red40
423919.9
743216.2
61666.6
Blue52
233823.4
76299.7
17119.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45492030406070804052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4239
#47
19.90.2
19.219.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End4.2
blue by 3.4
23.40.2
21.822.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Second
7432
#32
16.20.3
13.212.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 3.2
171
#12
19.40.2
13.313.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Third
6166
#54
6.60.2
10.710.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 3.1
7629
#42
9.70.3
11.111.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed