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Red45
369216.5
402118.7
638114.5
Blue36
372312.7
75968.4
642016.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464102060804536

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4021
#33
18.70.4
17.817.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.2
red by 2.5
6420
#45
16.20.2
15.815.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End2.5
Second
3692
#19
16.50.4
14.313.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.8
red by 3.8
3723
#50
12.70.3
10.19.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.2
Third
6381
#43
14.50.5
11.711.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End3.8
red by 6.0
7596
#53
8.40.3
12.612.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed